*TABLE 2 Results for Concept Variables*
*Use "Forecasting In Sample repdata.dta"*
*Comparison Models State Weakness*
*SFI*
logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph
*Corruption*
logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag corruption_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag corruption_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

*Government Effectiveness*
logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag goveffect_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag goveffect_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

*Comparison Models Economic Opportunity*
*Fish values*
logit      pirincidents_dum  fishval_caplag ucdp_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  fishval_caplag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

*Comparison Models Geography*
*Distance from Chokepoint*
logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag  chokedist_capitalln   pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag  chokedist_capitalln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

*Regional Dummies*
 logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag  africa asiaocean   pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag  africa asiaocean   pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

*Comparison Models Civil War/State Failure*
logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag failed sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum failed gdpln_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

*Comparison Model Regime Type*
logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag_sq polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag_sq polity2lag  cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

*TABLE 3 Best Models for Incidents and Hijackings*
logit      pirincidents_dum  gdpln_lag ucdp_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln  t1inc t2inc t3inc if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph

logit      hijack_dum ucdp_lag  gdpln_lag sfi_lag  wto_lntradelag polity2lag cinc_lnlag coast_ln  pop_ln t1hij t2hij t3hij if year<2007, cluster(ccode)
lroc, nograph
